--- title: "Fine-tuning Tutorial TimeGPT" description: "Adapt TimeGPT to your specific datasets for more accurate forecasts" icon: "sliders" --- Fine-tuning is a powerful process for utilizing TimeGPT more effectively. Foundation models such as TimeGPT are pre-trained on vast amounts of data, capturing wide-ranging features and patterns. These models can then be specialized for specific contexts or domains. With fine-tuning, the model's parameters are refined to forecast a new task, allowing it to tailor its vast pre-existing knowledge towards the requirements of the new data. Fine-tuning thus serves as a crucial bridge, linking TimeGPT's broad capabilities to your tasks specificities. Concretely, the process of fine-tuning consists of performing a certain number of training iterations on your input data minimizing the forecasting error. The forecasts will then be produced with the updated model. To control the number of iterations, use the `finetune_steps` argument of the `forecast` method. ## Tutorial [![Open In Colab](https://colab.research.google.com/assets/colab-badge.svg)](https://colab.research.google.com/github/Nixtla/nixtla/blob/main/nbs/docs/tutorials/06_finetuning.ipynb) ### Step 1: Import Packages and Initialize Client First, we import the required packages and initialize the Nixtla client. ```python import pandas as pd from nixtla import NixtlaClient from utilsforecast.losses import mae, mse from utilsforecast.evaluation import evaluate ``` Next, initialize the NixtlaClient instance, providing your API key (or rely on environment variables): ```python initialize-client nixtla_client = NixtlaClient( api_key='my_api_key_provided_by_nixtla' # Defaults to os.environ.get("NIXTLA_API_KEY") ) ``` ### Step 2: Load Data Load the dataset from the provided CSV URL: ```python load-data df = pd.read_csv( "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/Nixtla/transfer-learning-time-series/main/datasets/air_passengers.csv" ) df.head() ``` | | timestamp | value | | ----- | ------------ | ------- | | 0 | 1949-01-01 | 112 | | 1 | 1949-02-01 | 118 | | 2 | 1949-03-01 | 132 | | 3 | 1949-04-01 | 129 | | 4 | 1949-05-01 | 121 | ### Step 3: Fine-tune the Model Set the number of fine-tuning iterations with the **finetune_steps** parameter. Here, `finetune_steps=10` means the model will go through 10 iterations of training on your time series data. ```python timegpt_fcst_finetune_df = nixtla_client.forecast( df=df, h=12, finetune_steps=10, time_col='timestamp', target_col='value', ) ``` Visualize forecasts to confirm performance: ```python nixtla_client.plot( df, timegpt_fcst_finetune_df, time_col='timestamp', target_col='value', ) ``` ![Forecast Plot](https://raw.githubusercontent.com/Nixtla/nixtla/readme_docs/nbs/_docs/docs/tutorials/06_finetuning_files/figure-markdown_strict/cell-12-output-1.png) ## Conclusion Keep in mind that fine-tuning can be a bit of trial and error. You might need to adjust the number of `finetune_steps` based on your specific needs and the complexity of your data. Usually, a larger value of `finetune_steps` works better for large datasets. It's recommended to monitor the model's performance during fine-tuning and adjust as needed. Be aware that more `finetune_steps` may lead to longer training times and could potentially lead to overfitting if not managed properly. Remember, fine-tuning is a powerful feature, but it should be used thoughtfully and carefully. ## Additional Resources - For a detailed guide on using a specific loss function for fine-tuning, check out the [Fine-tuning with a specific loss function](/forecasting/fine-tuning/custom_loss) tutorial. - Also, read our detailed tutorial on [controlling the level of fine-tuning](/forecasting/fine-tuning/depth) using `finetune_depth`.